Showing posts with label LeBron James. Show all posts
Showing posts with label LeBron James. Show all posts

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Miami Heat: Whose team is it anyway?

(1/11/2011 - Harry How/Getty Images North America)
Well, Fellas, whose team is it? Inquiring minds want to know.

From the moment the words "I'm going to take my talents to South Beach..." spilled out of LeBron James' mouth, sports fans and pundits have been asking "Whose team is the Miami Heat"?

Ugh, not this again....

Several theories immediately came to the forefront of the public consciousness. 1) Dwyane Wade has won a title for the Heat. Therefore the team will be his. 2) LeBron is the best player in the league. Therefore, the best player on the team leads the team. 3) Neither of these players will be able to take a backseat to the other. Therefore, it's never going to work out. It took the Heat awhile to figure out how to make this dynamic work, but with the second round of the playoffs over the Heat have finally answered this question for all the world: The team belongs to Dwyane Wade and LeBron James.

The answer seems so simple, yet so complicated and unconventional. It's understandable why some people couldn't comprehend this dynamic having success. We live in a world where for the most part teams and groups only have one leader. There's only one president in the USA. One mayor of a city. One commission of the NBA. Peyton Manning is the leader of the Colts. Derek Jeter led the Yankees through many championships. And most pertinent to the present conversation, Michael Jordan was the leader of the Bulls. The Heat are doing more than just challenging this convention. They're breaking down barriers that few thought they could.

At this point in the season, there's ample evidence to support this conclusion. And you need to look no further than the two series the Heat have played in the playoffs. In the series against Philadelphia, Wade was the dedicated closer, and it made perfect sense for that to be the case. One of the best defenders in the league, Andre Iguodala was matched up against LeBron for most of the series, while Wade was generally being defended by Lou Williams or rookie Evan Turner. These match ups were a ripe opportunity for Wade to take over at the end of the games. Sometimes the Heat ran the Wade/James PnR to get a switch on defense and have LeBron post up whoever Wade's defender was, but for the most part it was Wade who had the ball and making the decisions at the end of the games.

In the Celtic series both players had their moments. Game 1 was pure Wade domination. He led his team with 13 points in the 4th quarter and had 38 overall. Game 2 was classic LeBron James. He had one of the greatest games of his career with 12 points and 6 Rebounds in the 4th to finish off a 35 point game. Game 3 was an utter disaster for the Miami Heat. We'll just pretend that game didn't happen. In Game 4 LeBron was back at it again with an 11 point 4th quarter and stifling defense on Pierce to help force an overtime with which the Heat eventually ran away. Game 5, however, was probably the best example of the dynamic. The first half belonged to Wade, but he struggled late as he appeared to run out of steam. James, who told Wade at halftime that he'd have his back, did exactly what he promised. He scored 23 in the 2nd half including the last 10 points of the game to close out the series against the Celtics. In one telling moment within the final minute of the game, LeBron was at the top of the key and looked toward Dwyane in the near corner. Dwyane waved back to LeBron, motioning for him to finish what he started. Deferring. Trusting.

So what does all this tell us? Do we know who the Alpha of the Heat is? Absolutely. The answer is both Dwyane Wade and LeBron James. They're doing what few people ever thought two superstars in their primes could do. Put aside their egos for the sake of winning. The Heat's closer on any given night is whoever has the best match up or is playing better. It's that simple. I realize it's tough for some people to come to terms with this idea. I realize some people don't want to accept it. And that's fine. Dwyane Wade and LeBron James have not only accepted it. They've embraced it. For winning, that's all that matters.


(Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images)
"Hey Dwyane, look at how much fun winning is!"

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

NBA MVP Series #2: What's value, and who gives it?

So in the last installment of the NBA MVP Series, we looked at what kind of production it took to be deemed worth of the MVP. We found 5 of the best players in the NBA.

PG: Chris Paul
SG: Dwyane Wade
SF: LeBron James
PF: Dirk Nowitzki
C: Dwight Howard

Most of these names are in the current MVP discussion. Wade probably the exception because he plays with James, who sucks up all the national media attention. Also Paul isn't discussed often because his team is only on pace to win 46 games so far, but it's hard to find a guy who's having a better season for a worse team.

There's one player who's definitely missing from this list whose name is all over the place nowadays: Derrick Rose. Derrick Rose is a very good PG in the NBA, but does he deserve to be the MVP?

The most important job of an NBA GM is to find players who can get the most value (points) from their assets (possessions). There's two sides to this, of course: Offense and defense. On offense a team wants to score the most points possible per possession, and on defense a team wants to prevent the most points possible per opposing possession. So finding players who can score and defend is always the priority. So it's with this mindset that we continue our journey and find out which top players yield this value for their teams. Are you ready?!

I like the enthusiasm!!

A good way to find out if a player is adding value to a team is to look at the offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency when the player is playing and when he is not. If a team plays as well without a player, then he must not be adding much value to the team. Offensive efficiency (OE) is defined as points scored per 100 possessions, while defensive efficiency (DE) is the points allowed per 100 possessions. Efficiency differential (ED) is OE-DE. With that, let's look at some fun little charts!

Click for google docs version


Click for google docs version


So there's some interesting information coming from these numbers. Firstly, top five players on this list would make a pretty awesome team. Secondly, who knew Paul Pierce was more important to the Celtics than either Rondo or Garnett. I was definitely not surprised to see Garnett so high on the list. Thirdly, LeBron James, regardless of the perception people have of him this season, is playing out of his mind, and is by far the most important player to that Heat team. Fourthly, what in the world is going on with Russell Westbrook?! The Thunder are almost a full 9 points better with him off the court. I'm not sure what to think about that.

And finally, as the first installment of this series showed, while Derrick Rose is a very good player, he is not the MVP, regardless of whether you view the MVP as the best player in the league or as which player is the most valuable to his team. Rose adds around 7 points per 100 possessions when he's on the court. This is a very good differential, one of the best in the league. But it isn't enough make him the NBA 2011 MVP.

One of these two guys should be....

(October 25, 2010 - Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images North America)